Saturday, November 3, 2012

Polls and Predictions on the Eve of the Election

Here are links to polls and predictions three days before the election.

Fivethirtyeight: Nate Silver's analytical poll of polls

Princeton Election Consortium: Sam Wang's meta-analysis of the polls

Real Clear Politics Latest Election Polls: Lists the polls released each day - surprise!

Talking Points Memo Electoral Scoreboard:'s best guesstimates.

The Rand Continuous 2012 Presidential Election Poll: A daily poll reflecting the views of 3,500 people who keep changing their minds! A betting site (sorry, "prediction site" - and those are "air quotes") - the top market is for "Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012").

Betfair: An English betting site where over $20 million has already been wagered on the election.

Have fun and be sure to vote!

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